Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60d8…f2a6
weather · 938 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$55 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$102 · open −$47
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$258
Realized+$102
Unrealized−$47
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses186 / 741
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions11
Markets (closed)927 / 938
History coverage66d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 11 History 927 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Yes 46¢ 68¢ $51 $75 +$23 (+45%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? Yes 39¢ 59¢ $30 $45 +$15 (+50%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Yes 50¢ 72¢ $30 $43 +$13 (+44%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Yes 21¢ 30¢ $23 $34 +$11 (+45%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? Yes 70¢ 62¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? Yes 56¢ 34¢ $36 $21 −$15 (-41%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? Yes 49¢ 20¢ $29 $12 −$17 (-60%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $39 $1 −$38 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-68%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-97%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 11? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 11? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 11? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 9? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 9? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 10? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 11? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Jun 11 $2 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13? May 13 $15 +$44 +294%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12? May 13 $17 +$29 +171%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 12? May 13 $8 +$63 +770%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 12? May 13 $14 +$42 +300%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Ma May 13 $21 +$40 +189%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12? May 13 $1 +$6 +540%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12? May 13 $5 +$15 +301%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 12? May 12 $19 +$46 +241%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12? May 12 $21 +$32 +155%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12? May 12 $7 +$44 +585%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 12? May 12 $12 +$20 +168%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12? May 12 $21 +$37 +181%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12? May 12 $18 +$50 +276%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May May 12 $2 +$40 +2286%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 11? May 12 $21 +$31 +151%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 11? May 12 $16 +$33 +203%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 11? May 12 $18 +$54 +296%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11? May 12 $21 +$31 +151%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 11? May 12 $20 +$30 +154%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 11? May 11 $20 +$51 +254%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11? May 11 $8 +$14 +169%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 12? May 11 $8 −$8 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 12? May 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 12? May 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11? May 11 $33 +$59 +180%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13? May 11 $6 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13? May 11 $12 −$11 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13? May 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13? May 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13? May 11 $19 −$18 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 13? May 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 13? May 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 13? May 11 $20 −$20 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 13? May 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13? May 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 12? May 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 12? May 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 12? May 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 12? May 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 12? May 11 $3 −$2 -95%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12? May 11 $9 −$9 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on May 12? May 11 $0 $0 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 12? May 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 12? May 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 12? May 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 12? May 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 12? May 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 12? May 11 $9 −$8 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 12? May 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 99% +$64
sports 0% +$4
crypto 0% −$9
world 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY Yes 51¢ $4 27m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY Yes 50¢ $4 27m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 21¢ $17 29m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 30m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 35m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 39m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 42m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? BUY Yes 50¢ $7 46m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? BUY Yes 46¢ $7 46m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? BUY Yes 51¢ $9 54m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? BUY Yes 45¢ $7 54m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY Yes 38¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? BUY Yes 48¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? BUY Yes 56¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? BUY Yes 55¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? BUY Yes 56¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? BUY Yes 57¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? BUY Yes 52¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? BUY Yes 52¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? BUY Yes 59¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY Yes 35¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? BUY Yes 65¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? BUY Yes 66¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? BUY Yes 65¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? BUY Yes 55¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -8.4% -17.1% 0% 0% -17.1%
≤30d 2 +142.7% +119.6% 50% 50% +224.1%
≤90d 927 -11.6% -20.1% 20% 20% -9.5%
all 927 -11.6% -20.1% 20% 20% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 20% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 20% -18.1%
15% -34.7% 19% -26.1%
20% -41.1% 18% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $257.55 · official $257.55 (match) · 2529 history records