Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:46:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60da…66f8
crypto · 305 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$182 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$177 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$177
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses198 / 106
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)304 / 305
History coverage112d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 304 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$18
14 days+$18
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 97¢ 96¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Weibo Gaming 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 71¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Invictus Gaming 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$16 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $22 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +17%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$8 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Feb 28 $2 +$3 +209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Feb 28 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Feb 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Feb 28 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Feb 28 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Feb 28 $4 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Feb 28 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Feb 28 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Feb 28 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Feb 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Feb 28 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Feb 28 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Feb 28 $6 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Feb 28 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Feb 28 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Feb 28 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Feb 28 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$139
sports 8% −$19
world 1% −$19
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $45 7m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 97¢ $20 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $35 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Team Heretics 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -11.7% -20.1% 67% 30% -4.7%
≤30d 33 -11.7% -20.1% 67% 30% -4.7%
≤90d 33 -11.7% -20.1% 67% 30% -4.7%
all 304 -11.7% -20.1% 65% 42% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.1% 42% -12.9%
10% -27.7% 23% -21.3%
15% -34.7% 13% -28.9%
20% -41.1% 8% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.69 · official $19.69 (match) · 788 history records