Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T04:33:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
60 0x60e2…0604 crypto 34 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (91 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$88 (+24%) realized +$88 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate47%16W / 18L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day91.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$88
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (91 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+1.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +12.5% +1.8% 47% 44% +12.6%
≤30d 34 +12.5% +1.8% 47% 44% +12.6%
≤90d 34 +12.5% +1.8% 47% 44% +12.6%
all 34 +12.5% +1.8% 47% 44% +12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover91.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.8% 44% +12.6%
10% ← realistic here -7.9% 41% +1.8%
15% -16.8% 38% -8.0%
20% -25.0% 35% -17.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 29% · top 2 43% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +24% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +13% · $-wt +24% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late +33% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$10 · ×1.68 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.49 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses16 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day91.0
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 34 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$9 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $15 +$37 +249%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$14 +132%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 25 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$11 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$10 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$18 +168%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $26 +$27 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $16 +$31 +199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 25 $21 +$78 +368%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $16 −$15 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 113 history records