Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T22:59:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
60 0x60ec…f7b0 sports 759 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (389 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL +$35,580 (+8%) realized +$36,331 · open −$751
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +881% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +656% what you keep after slip
Net edge+656%after slip
Net WR65%break-even
Win rate77%656W / 199L
Whale WR64%big bets
Drawdown26%max
Avg bet$604per market
Trades / day389.4pace
Fees−$3,658est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$6,829now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 97% +$35,715
other 3% +$462
crypto 0% −$304
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (389 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+787.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 855 +881.4% +787.9% 77% 65% -7.2%
≤30d 855 +881.4% +787.9% 77% 65% -7.2%
≤90d 855 +881.4% +787.9% 77% 65% -7.2%
all 855 +881.4% +787.9% 77% 65% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover389.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +787.9% 65% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here +702.9% 59% -16.1%
15% +625.4% 54% -24.2%
20% +554.2% 52% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +21% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +881% · $-wt +21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 64% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +442% → late +1320% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$159 vs −$240 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.19 per $1 lost it wins $2.19
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$6,829
Realized+$36,331
Unrealized−$751
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses656 / 199
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$3,658
Open positions13
Markets (closed)855 / 759
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$604
Trades / day389.4
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 13 History 855 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Asuncion 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Eduardo Ribeiro Eduardo Ribeiro 85¢ 88¢ $1,002 $1,046 +$44 (+4%)
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Nick Kyrgios Ben Shelton 68¢ 68¢ $730 $735 +$5 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 79¢ 52¢ $639 $417 −$222 (-35%)
Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Felix Gill 47¢ 70¢ $245 $365 +$120 (+49%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 60¢ $371 $251 −$120 (-32%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? No 74¢ 74¢ $246 $248 +$2 (+1%)
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez Juan Sebastian Gomez 26¢ 10¢ $392 $160 −$231 (-59%)
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Yes 48¢ 100¢ $72 $149 +$77 (+108%)
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic Miomir Kecmanovic 57¢ 60¢ $117 $122 +$5 (+4%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 32¢ 0¢ $369 $1 −$368 (-100%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? No 73¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Viktorija Golubic 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 486 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 15 $1 +$4 +632%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 15 $0 +$295 +162731%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Oliver Crawford Jun 15 $1 +$6 +978%
Heilbronn: Joel Schwaerzler vs Matej Dodig Jun 15 $0 +$143 +44121%
ITF Wuning: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigo Jun 15 $1 +$65 +12660%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 15 $0 +$229 +73851%
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Ognjen Milic Jun 15 $0 +$53 +11105%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jun 15 $1 −$69 -11438%
Birmingham: Billy Harris vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 15 $1 +$10 +1621%
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 15 $1 +$75 +14938%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 15 $0 +$129 +27209%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 15 $0 +$324 +119266%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Jun 15 $1 −$4 -744%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Lisa Zaar vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jun 15 $1 +$1 +172%
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifi Jun 15 $0 +$144 +53272%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 15 $1 +$16 +3038%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Diae El Jardi vs Tatjana Maria Jun 15 $1 +$21 +3664%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 15 $0 +$8 +2033%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 15 $1 −$545 -93545%
ITF Luan: Hanyi Liu vs Yaojie Zeng Jun 15 $1 −$153 -25708%
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Aidan Mayo Jun 15 $0 −$7 -1459%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 15 $1 −$337 -64239%
ITF Wuning: Xinxin Yao vs Yufei Ren Jun 15 $0 +$191 +44736%
Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 15 $1 −$47 -8770%
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea Jun 15 $0 +$5 +1285%
Birmingham: Gabriela Knutson vs Joanna Garland Jun 15 $0 +$48 +11919%
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Emerson Jones Jun 15 $0 +$63 +12545%
ITF Casablanca: Carolina Dibenedetto vs Marta Soriano Santiago Jun 15 $1 +$10 +1848%
Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Fery Jun 15 $1 −$134 -23474%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneeva Jun 15 $0 +$111 +28511%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 15 $0 +$49 +10802%
LoL: GOAL vs mCon esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 15 $0 +$314 +77409%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 15 $0 +$108 +23264%
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikova Jun 15 $1 +$9 +1523%
ITF Deauville: Marc Antoine Gaillard vs Corentin Denolly Jun 15 $1 +$6 +1140%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 15 $0 +$325 +86932%
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 15 $0 +$61 +12445%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Zakharova vs Karolina Muchova Jun 15 $1 −$124 -21751%
Vicenza: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Gonzalo Bueno Jun 15 $1 −$95 -16418%
Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Thiago Monteiro Jun 15 $0 +$578 +262476%
Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Giron Jun 15 $0 +$62 +21578%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Himeno Sakatsume Jun 15 $1 −$38 -6622%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 15 $0 +$116 +24625%
Centurion: Luc Koenig vs Dominik Palan Jun 15 $0 +$210 +61697%
ITF Toyama: Sun Min Ha vs Chia Yi Tsao Jun 15 $1 +$1 +112%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers Jun 15 $0 +$86 +17174%
Birmingham: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken Jun 15 $0 $0 +28%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Maxim Mrva Jun 15 $1 −$20 -3796%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Marina Bass Jun 15 $1 −$73 -14041%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Sta Jun 15 $0 +$10 +2044%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 62¢ $19 1m
Asuncion 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Eduardo Ribeiro BUY Eduardo Ribeiro 89¢ $170 6m
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 67¢ $101 6m
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 74¢ $59 10m
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 74¢ $249 10m
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 69¢ $33 10m
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 74¢ $37 10m
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 32¢ $206 17m
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 26¢ $35 20m
Asuncion 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Eduardo Ribeiro BUY Eduardo Ribeiro 84¢ $837 26m
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 46¢ $18 44m
Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardt SELL Nick Hardt 100¢ $1,998 46m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 88¢ $10 56m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 88¢ $361 56m
Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardt BUY Bruno Fernandez 10¢ $1 1h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 16¢ $24 1h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 15¢ $21 1h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 22¢ $6 1h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 16¢ $37 1h
Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardt BUY Nick Hardt 57¢ $1,876 1h
Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardt BUY Bruno Fernandez 64¢ $1,612 1h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? SELL No 100¢ $550 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? BUY 68¢ $22 2h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND BUY 98¢ $100 2h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end i BUY 81¢ $3 2h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 26¢ $114 2h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 11¢ $11 2h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY No 23¢ $24 2h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? A BUY 92¢ $11 2h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND BUY 79¢ $22 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,828.82 · official $14,713.57 · 3500 history records