Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x6100…ed95
sports · 57 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$23,716 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$43,183 · open −$19,467
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$18,550
Realized+$43,183
Unrealized−$19,467
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses38 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$2,605
Open positions3
Markets (closed)54 / 57
Avg bet$3,826
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$812
7 days+$25,168
14 days+$25,318
30 days+$25,891
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ 52¢ $18,308 $18,526 +$218 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 38¢ 0¢ $12,936 $17 −$12,919 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 45¢ 0¢ $6,774 $8 −$6,766 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 15¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 31¢ 0¢ $6,995 $0 −$6,995 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 28¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 54¢ 0¢ $5,400 $0 −$5,400 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 24¢ 0¢ $398 $0 −$398 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 62¢ 0¢ $9,317 $0 −$9,317 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 62¢ 0¢ $6,800 $0 −$6,800 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $12,507 +$812 +6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $7,048 +$2,873 +41%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 09 $6,729 +$3,315 +49%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $864 +$33 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $6,973 −$5,404 -78%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2,409 +$446 +18%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $6,849 +$14,850 +217%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $8,851 +$11,939 +135%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $6,345 +$4,105 +65%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $60 −$59 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $4,207 +$793 +19%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $7,275 +$2,727 +38%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $7,000 +$3,000 +43%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $9,349 −$9,317 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $4,223 +$667 +16%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $7,019 −$6,995 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,585 +$315 +20%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,989 +$1,069 +54%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $402 −$398 -99%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $880 +$120 +14%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $3,082 +$436 +14%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $999 −$8 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? May 25 $5,254 +$574 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Apr 19 $50 +$50 +100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Apr 18 $3,714 +$7,611 +205%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 18 $9,261 +$5,648 +61%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 18 $4,400 +$1,600 +36%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 18 $4,900 +$5,100 +104%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 17 $6,800 −$6,800 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Apr 17 $6,882 +$2,293 +33%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $1,464 −$1,452 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Apr 17 $5,400 −$5,400 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $1,170 +$353 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Apr 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Apr 17 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $1,314 +$130 +10%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $1,380 +$620 +45%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $4,050 +$926 +23%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Apr 17 $3,750 +$1,250 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Apr 16 $49 +$51 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Apr 16 $49 +$51 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Apr 16 $49 +$51 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Apr 16 $49 −$49 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Apr 16 $9,792 +$3,190 +33%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Apr 15 $2,880 +$2,120 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Apr 15 $47 +$47 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Apr 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Apr 14 $50 +$50 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Apr 14 $50 +$50 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Apr 14 $50 +$50 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$23,049
crypto 3% +$676
other 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 45¢ $511 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 45¢ $1 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 45¢ $2 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 45¢ $850 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 43¢ $430 2m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 43¢ $656 2m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 43¢ $9 2m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 43¢ $35 2m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $7 6m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $1,272 6m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $44 6m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $490 6m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $647 6m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $2,629 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $1,882 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $241 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $176 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $66 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $98 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $11 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $25 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $8,366 10m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $6,539 43m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $66 43m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $68 43m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $6,645 43m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 62¢ $1,012 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 62¢ $858 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 59¢ $10,637 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 6¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +19.2% +7.9% 78% 67% +13.0%
≤30d 23 +12.4% +1.7% 74% 65% +11.4%
≤90d 54 +16.4% +5.3% 70% 65% +13.1%
all 54 +16.4% +5.3% 70% 65% +13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.3% 65% +13.1%
10% ← realistic here -4.8% 52% +2.3%
15% -14.0% 43% -7.6%
20% -22.4% 31% -16.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18,550.48 · official $18,550.48 (match) · 899 history records