trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +8.5% | -1.8% | 75% | 38% | -5.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 67% | 33% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 69% | 31% | -11.2% |
| all | 13 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 69% | 31% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 31% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 15% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 8% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $700 | $694 | −$6 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1,406 | +$220 | +16% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $405 | +$32 | +8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 15 | $1,103 | −$403 | -36% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $601 | +$50 | +8% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $483 | +$165 | +34% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $403 | +$10 | +2% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $333 | +$137 | +41% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Jun 11 | $208 | −$10 | -5% |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 | Jun 03 | $406 | −$400 | -98% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 03 | $491 | +$21 | +4% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 28 | $503 | +$79 | +16% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 20 | $802 | −$48 | -6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 16 | $103 | +$10 | +10% |