trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +80% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +22% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | Jun 06 | $2 | +$2 | +104% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 23 | $4 | +$4 | +94% |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | May 20 | $1 | +$6 | +632% |
| World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia | May 17 | $1 | +$2 | +159% |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | May 16 | $3 | +$5 | +175% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 07 | $2 | +$1 | +41% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | May 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will AFC Ajax vs. PSV end in a draw? | May 02 | $2 | +$3 | +125% |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? | May 02 | $1 | +$1 | +79% |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30? | May 02 | $6 | +$4 | +65% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 01 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30? | Apr 30 | $1 | +$1 | +97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +89.0% | +71.0% | 100% | 100% | +56.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +178.8% | +152.2% | 100% | 100% | +118.1% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +104.7% | +85.2% | 88% | 88% | +66.3% |
| all | 16 | +104.7% | +85.2% | 88% | 88% | +66.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +85.2% | 88% | +66.3% |
| 10% | +67.5% | 81% | +50.3% |
| 15% | +51.3% | 81% | +35.8% |
| 20% | +36.4% | 69% | +22.5% |