Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:27:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x611a…a00b
crypto · 33 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$36 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses10 / 23
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
History coverage90d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$74
7 days+$74
14 days+$74
30 days+$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 18? No 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 14 $41 +$49 +121%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $40 +$3 +7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $16 +$23 +141%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $17 −$1 -5%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? Apr 28 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27? Apr 28 $3 +$3 +101%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 18? Apr 18 $6 −$6 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Apr 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10AM ET Apr 15 $24 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Apr 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Apr 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Apr 04 $4 +$2 +44%
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Apr 02 $15 −$2 -11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28? Apr 02 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? Apr 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21? Mar 28 $5 −$3 -59%
Will Switzerland vs. Germany end in a draw? Mar 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Morocco vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Mar 28 $3 +$4 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Mar 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Mar 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Mar 27 $6 +$8 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Mar 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 26? Mar 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? Mar 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 25? Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier Leagu Mar 26 $5 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? Mar 25 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Mar 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? Mar 20 $5 +$13 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Mar 15 $5 +$3 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 37% −$41
sports 27% +$20
other 25% +$48
world 6% −$2
finance 4% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Scotland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 99¢ $90 32m
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 44¢ $41 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? SELL Yes 42¢ $42 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 38¢ $40 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 99¢ $39 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 40¢ $16 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 18¢ $17 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 18¢ $17 3h
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 46d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27? BUY Yes 49¢ $3 47d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 18? BUY No 0¢ $1 56d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 18? BUY No 0¢ $5 56d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $9 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $22 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 72d
US forces enter Iran by April 30? SELL No 38¢ $8 72d
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 74d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21? SELL Yes 7¢ $2 77d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28? BUY No 24¢ $3 77d
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? BUY No 37¢ $10 77d
Will Morocco vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 36¢ $3 78d
Will Switzerland vs. Germany end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 78d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-31.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +65.9% +50.1% 75% 50% +49.2%
≤30d 4 +65.9% +50.1% 75% 50% +49.2%
≤90d 32 -26.8% -33.7% 28% 25% +2.0%
all 33 -24.2% -31.4% 30% 27% +2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.4% 27% +2.8%
10% -38.0% 27% -7.1%
15% -43.9% 24% -16.0%
20% -49.4% 21% -24.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 76 history records