Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:47:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x611d…272b
crypto · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$6 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses5 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$5 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $8 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $7 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $9 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $9 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -7.1% -16.0% 50% 50% -13.9%
≤30d 10 -7.1% -16.0% 50% 50% -13.9%
≤90d 10 -7.1% -16.0% 50% 50% -13.9%
all 10 -7.1% -16.0% 50% 50% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.0% 50% -13.9%
10% -24.0% 50% -22.2%
15% -31.4% 50% -29.7%
20% -38.1% 40% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 24 history records