Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x612a…f08e
crypto · 174 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses165 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)174 / 174
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day109.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 5% -9.7%
≤30d 174 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 5% -9.7%
≤90d 174 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 5% -9.7%
all 174 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 5% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 5% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 3% -18.3%
15% -26.4% 1% -26.2%
20% -33.6% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 451 history records