Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:49:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x6134…145b
crypto · 134 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$35 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses82 / 52
Open positions0
Markets (closed)134 / 134
History coverage30d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 04 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 04 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 04 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 04 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 04 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 03 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 03 $4 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 03 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $4 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $4 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $4 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +0.8% -8.8% 72% 52% -5.8%
≤30d 128 -9.5% -18.1% 62% 45% -18.0%
≤90d 134 -10.4% -18.9% 61% 45% -17.4%
all 134 -10.4% -18.9% 61% 45% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.9% 45% -17.4%
10% -26.7% 17% -25.3%
15% -33.8% 3% -32.5%
20% -40.2% 1% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 286 history records