trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Japan | 91¢ | 90¢ | $13 | $13 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Italy (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $16 | +$1 | +10% |
| Club Alianza Atlético leading at halftime? | Jun 07 | $17 | +$1 | +8% |
| CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 5.5 | Jun 07 | $18 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | May 21 | $1,140 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026? | May 21 | $80 | −$3 | -4% |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5 | May 21 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5) | May 21 | $20 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary electi | Mar 20 | $1,218 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Mar 20 | $167 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? | Mar 20 | $1,126 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | Mar 20 | $167 | $0 | +0% |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Mar 20 | $1,066 | +$30 | +3% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Mar 20 | $71 | −$11 | -15% |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Mar 20 | $1,122 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2 | Mar 20 | $240 | +$20 | +8% |
| 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5 | Mar 20 | $80 | +$110 | +138% |
| Magic vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline | Mar 20 | $166 | +$94 | +56% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +9.6% | -0.8% | 100% | 0% | -0.8% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +5.4% | -4.7% | 71% | 14% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +13.3% | +2.5% | 59% | 18% | -6.3% |
| all | 17 | +13.3% | +2.5% | 59% | 18% | -6.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.5% | 18% | -6.3% |
| 10% | -7.3% | 12% | -15.3% |
| 15% | -16.2% | 12% | -23.5% |
| 20% | -24.5% | 12% | -31.0% |