Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:02:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x614f…8d07
crypto · 1421 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$695 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$695 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$695
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses522 / 899
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1421 / 1421
History coverage70d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day24.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 0 History 1421 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$51
7 days−$296
14 days−$178
30 days−$146
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +296%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +734%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$13 +1241%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$10 +945%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$488
other 29% −$209
world 3% +$3
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 375 -76.2% -78.4% 3% 3% -78.0%
≤30d 667 -21.5% -29.0% 10% 10% -28.3%
≤90d 1421 -19.5% -27.1% 37% 21% -21.1%
all 1421 -19.5% -27.1% 37% 21% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 21% -21.1%
10% ← realistic here -34.1% 16% -28.7%
15% -40.5% 12% -35.6%
20% -46.3% 9% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3071 history records