Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x615c…5b46
crypto · 95 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$100 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$88
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses65 / 28
Open positions2
Markets (closed)93 / 95
History coverage28d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day8.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 2 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days+$3
14 days−$114
30 days−$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 94¢ 87¢ $53 $49 −$4 (-7%)
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? Yes 68¢ 67¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$5 -35%
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$15 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$9 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? Jun 12 $22 −$6 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$2 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$4 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$7 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$9 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$3 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$5 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +26%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 10 $1 $0 -14%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $4 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 40% −$93
crypto 35% −$36
politics 13% +$6
world 6% −$8
culture 3% +$44
weather 2% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? BUY Yes 68¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 +2.0% -7.7% 75% 38% -9.3%
≤30d 93 -0.0% -9.5% 70% 32% -14.0%
≤90d 93 -0.0% -9.5% 70% 32% -14.0%
all 93 -0.0% -9.5% 70% 32% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 32% -14.0%
10% -18.2% 20% -22.2%
15% -26.1% 10% -29.7%
20% -33.4% 9% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.55 · official $51.55 (match) · 290 history records