trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 28 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 18 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 10 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | May 06 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 18 | $117 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 16 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 30 | $236 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 22 | $236 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 17 | $236 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Mar 15 | $236 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 10 | $237 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 10 | $237 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 06 | $237 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 02 | $237 | $0 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Jan 29 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 29 | $226 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 04 | $231 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $225 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 03 | $231 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 02 | $228 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Dec 30 | $226 | $0 | -0% |