Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T13:06:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
61 0x6173…64d2 crypto 752 markets active 1h ago coverage 107d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 107d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$864 (+1%) realized +$864 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate73%628W / 231L
Whale WR62%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$115per market
Trades / day28.5pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 107d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$171
other 1% +$194
sports 0% +$94
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 -68.9% -71.8% 17% 14% -82.7%
≤30d 238 -52.4% -57.0% 33% 18% -64.1%
≤90d 693 -20.4% -28.0% 68% 19% -24.4%
all 859 -15.7% -23.7% 73% 17% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.7% 17% -18.9%
10% ← realistic here -31.0% 7% -26.6%
15% -37.7% 5% -33.7%
20% -43.8% 4% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -17% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
76% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 62% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late -31% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$67 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.35 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

107d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$864
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses628 / 231
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)859 / 752
History coverage107d ⚠
Avg bet$115
Trades / day28.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 859 Trades
no open positions (206 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 12AM ET Jun 24 $78 −$82 -105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 24 $7 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 3AM ET Jun 24 $88 −$88 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $569 −$569 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 24 $161 −$161 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 24 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 24 $65 −$65 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 24 $92 −$92 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 9AM ET Jun 24 $269 −$269 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9AM ET Jun 24 $456 −$456 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 24 $177 −$177 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 5AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 24 $7 −$45 -626%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 24 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5PM ET Jun 24 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 24 $83 −$83 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 11AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 24 $262 −$262 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 24 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 24 $166 −$166 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 24 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 24 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 24 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 24 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 24 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 24 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 24 $488 −$488 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 24 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 24 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 24 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 24 $25 −$45 -180%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 9AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $167 −$157 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 24 $84 −$84 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 24 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 1AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 24 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $92 −$92 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $69 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $41 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $64 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $58 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $22 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $89 1h
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5 AND Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U BUY 21¢ $23 5h
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5 AND Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 BUY 23¢ $7 6h
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? BUY 48¢ $7 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $39 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $39 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $8 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $33 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $8 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $36.00 · 3500 history records