Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T22:26:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
61 0x619e…36ff crypto 1332 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (309 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$8,692 (+111%) realized +$8,692 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate58%777W / 552L
Drawdown80%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day309.4pace
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$10now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 80% −$101
other 20% +$336
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (309 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1329 +0.8% -8.8% 58% 46% -6.8%
≤30d 1329 +0.8% -8.8% 58% 46% -6.8%
≤90d 1329 +0.8% -8.8% 58% 46% -6.8%
all 1329 +0.8% -8.8% 58% 46% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover309.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 46% -6.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 38% -15.7%
15% -25.5% 31% -23.9%
20% -32.8% 23% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$3 · ×0.8 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$10
Realized+$8,692
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses777 / 552
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1329 / 1332
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day309.4
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 1329 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 81¢ 86¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+6%)
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET Down 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 6¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $34 −$34 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$4 +312%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $17 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$1 +19%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$2 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $13 +$3 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$3 +266%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +114%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$9 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $34 +$2 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $37 +$4 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$9 +152%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $13 +$12 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$3 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$8 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $34 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 17m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $16 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 42m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 47m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $33 59m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.78 · official $16.68 · 3500 history records