trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +21.8% | +10.2% | 75% | 50% | -33.9% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +36.1% | +23.1% | 80% | 60% | -19.8% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 62% | 38% | -34.0% |
| all | 38 | +10.1% | -0.4% | 66% | 42% | +7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.4% | 42% | +7.9% |
| 10% | -9.9% | 42% | -2.4% |
| 15% | -18.6% | 42% | -11.9% |
| 20% | -26.6% | 42% | -20.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $90 | $90 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 24 | $371 | −$371 | -100% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 19 | $184 | +$186 | +101% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $8 | +$7 | +86% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 08 | $98 | +$92 | +93% |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | May 18 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 03 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Apr 05 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-4.5) | Mar 23 | $92 | +$100 | +108% |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | Mar 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 17 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 5? | Mar 08 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Sabres vs. Penguins | Mar 08 | $97 | −$97 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Thunder | Feb 24 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Jets | Feb 06 | $392 | +$392 | +100% |
| Senators vs. Penguins | Feb 04 | $6 | +$6 | +100% |
| Canadiens vs. Wild: O/U 6.5 | Feb 04 | $187 | +$194 | +104% |
| Spread: Raptors (-1.5) | Feb 02 | $97 | +$97 | +100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25? | Jan 26 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Raptors vs. Lakers | Jan 25 | $186 | −$186 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks | Jan 18 | $99 | +$99 | +100% |
| Spread: Patriots (-11.5) | Jan 06 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Kraken | Jan 03 | $395 | +$395 | +100% |
| Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 | Jan 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31? | Jan 01 | $20 | −$11 | -53% |
| 76ers vs. Bulls | Jan 01 | $200 | +$192 | +96% |
| California vs. Hawaii | Dec 26 | $109 | +$96 | +89% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Dec 20 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 48.5 | Dec 16 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| Utah vs. Ducks | Dec 05 | $95 | −$95 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Nov 26 | $94 | +$101 | +108% |
| Timberwolves vs. Suns | Nov 24 | $38 | +$57 | +150% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 20 | Nov 19 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| Lakers vs. Bucks | Nov 17 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 202 | Nov 15 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Jaguars vs. Texans | Nov 11 | $105 | +$101 | +96% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025 | Nov 09 | $45 | +$1 | +1% |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Nov 07 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |