trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 27 | -15.8% | -23.8% | 44% | 44% | +3.8% |
| ≤30d | 30 | -19.6% | -27.2% | 43% | 43% | +2.1% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -19.6% | -27.2% | 43% | 43% | +2.1% |
| all | 30 | -19.6% | -27.2% | 43% | 43% | +2.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.2% | 43% | +2.1% |
| 10% | -34.2% | 43% | -7.7% |
| 15% | -40.5% | 40% | -16.6% |
| 20% | -46.4% | 27% | -24.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Brazil | 49¢ | 99¢ | $98 | $198 | +$100 (+103%) |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Morocco | 50¢ | 93¢ | $98 | $181 | +$84 (+86%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 15¢ | $111 | $149 | +$38 (+35%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 19¢ | $63 | $61 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $48 | $43 | −$6 (-12%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $30 | $28 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Yes | 18¢ | 10¢ | $18 | $10 | −$9 (-47%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $101 | +$118 | +116% |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $152 | −$148 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $100 | −$97 | -97% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $100 | −$97 | -97% |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $20 | −$19 | -96% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $150 | +$74 | +49% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $50 | +$59 | +119% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $50 | +$25 | +51% |
| Spread: Algeria (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $100 | +$121 | +121% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $200 | +$146 | +73% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $139 | +$64 | +46% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 22 | $28 | −$27 | -97% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $50 | +$78 | +156% |
| Spread: Argentina (-3.5) | Jun 22 | $51 | −$49 | -96% |
| Spread: Egypt (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $200 | +$340 | +170% |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $150 | −$146 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 21 | $32 | −$31 | -96% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $250 | +$82 | +33% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $49 | −$47 | -97% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $50 | +$48 | +97% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $100 | −$97 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $380 | +$158 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11PM ET | Jun 21 | $7 | −$6 | -93% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $42 | −$41 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$12 | +40% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |