Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:54:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
61 0x61af…6f1f crypto 322 markets active 3d ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,365 (-19%) realized −$1,365 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate72%233W / 89L
Whale WR60%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day110.8pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$1,449
other 3% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 220 -7.1% -16.0% 70% 45% -29.4%
≤30d 322 -2.4% -11.7% 72% 44% -27.7%
≤90d 322 -2.4% -11.7% 72% 44% -27.7%
all 322 -2.4% -11.7% 72% 44% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover110.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 44% -27.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 21% -34.6%
15% -27.9% 10% -41.0%
20% -34.9% 6% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
38% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 60% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$23 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.29 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,365
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses233 / 89
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)322 / 322
History coverage6d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day110.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 322 Trades
no open positions (48 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +58%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 810 history records