Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:37:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61ba…9b0e
other · 36 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$59 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses2 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage548d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 0 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $6 $0 -0%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 21 $6 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 24 $5 $0 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 30 $6 $0 +0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 15 $5 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 23 $6 $0 +0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 24 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 19 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? Nov 23 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 26 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 26 $6 $0 +0%
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship? Aug 24 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship? Aug 12 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? Jul 20 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 15 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 12 $5 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 05 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Jun 05 $49 $0 +0%
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League? Jun 05 $9 $0 -0%
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? May 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025? May 10 $6 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025? Apr 24 $5 $0 -0%
Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025? Apr 24 $1 $0 +0%
Magic vs. Pacers Apr 12 $24 +$60 +245%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? Mar 26 $1 $0 -2%
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Feb 21 $10 $0 +0%
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Feb 08 $1 $0 +0%
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? Feb 07 $12 $0 +0%
Will another team win the Serie A? Jan 16 $10 $0 -0%
Newcastle United wins the Premier League? Jan 12 $9 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? Dec 26 $0 $0 +0%
Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League? Dec 13 $29 $0 -0%
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals? Dec 13 $25 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% +$60
other 43% $0
politics 13% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $6 1h
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $6 1h
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $6 24d
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $6 24d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $5 51d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $5 51d
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $6 75d
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $6 77d
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $5 91d
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $5 91d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $6 111d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $6 113d
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $6 141d
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $6 141d
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 94¢ $6 177d
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 94¢ $6 177d
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 92¢ $6 203d
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 92¢ $6 203d
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 99¢ $6 230d
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 99¢ $6 230d
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 98¢ $6 261d
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 98¢ $6 261d
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 294d
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 294d
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship? SELL No 99¢ $6 305d
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship? BUY No 99¢ $6 305d
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $6 329d
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $6 329d
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 334d
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 334d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 2 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 4 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 36 +3.9% -6.0% 6% 3% +8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.0% 3% +8.6%
10% -15.0% 3% -1.8%
15% -23.2% 3% -11.3%
20% -30.7% 3% -20.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 95 history records