Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:03:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61dd…68ef
crypto · 1780 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$967 -50%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$967 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$967
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses1302 / 910
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2212 / 1780
History coverage50d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day52.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2212 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$903
7 days−$912
14 days−$928
30 days−$963
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-07? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Norwich City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-07? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Norwich City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -108%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -140%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -195%
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -386%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AZ win on 2026-02-19? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -169%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$2 -166%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1359 -29.3% -36.0% 57% 53% -52.5%
≤30d 2074 -21.1% -28.6% 58% 45% -41.6%
≤90d 2212 -19.8% -27.5% 59% 46% -39.5%
all 2212 -19.8% -27.5% 59% 46% -39.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 46% -39.5%
10% ← realistic here -34.4% 24% -45.3%
15% -40.8% 7% -50.6%
20% -46.6% 1% -55.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records