trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 50% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 55% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 55% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 21 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 48% | 0% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 0% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 0% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 0% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 0% | -33.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 24 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 23 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 31 | $11 | $0 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $4 | $0 | -11% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 30 | $27 | $0 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 29 | $21 | −$2 | -11% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $28 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 28 | $28 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Dec 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | May 14 | $12 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | Apr 23 | $7 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be out as Director of National Intelligence in Trum | Apr 22 | $110 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope? | Apr 22 | $11 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Apr 21 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sebastian-Constantin Popescu advance to the Romanian Presidential | Apr 21 | $121 | $0 | +0% |