Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:39:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61ea…f58d
crypto · 232 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$671 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$671 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$671
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses131 / 100
Open positions1
Markets (closed)231 / 232
History coverage2d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day1534.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 231 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$526
7 days−$671
14 days−$671
30 days−$671
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 94¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$11 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$11 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$12 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $96 −$14 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$14 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$30 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $85 −$36 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$15 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $186 −$36 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$11 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$10 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$21 -61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$671
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $7 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 +4.0% -5.9% 57% 47% -15.1%
≤30d 231 +4.0% -5.9% 57% 47% -15.1%
≤90d 231 +4.0% -5.9% 57% 47% -15.1%
all 231 +4.0% -5.9% 57% 47% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1534.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 47% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 31% -23.2%
15% -23.1% 20% -30.6%
20% -30.7% 11% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.05 · official $1.04 (match) · 3500 history records