trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.6% | -8.9% | 50% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 17% | 6% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 17% | 6% | -9.1% |
| all | 28 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 39% | 4% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.8% | 4% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 22 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $8 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 10 | $31 | +$5 | +18% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $16 | −$1 | -8% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 09 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 08 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 06 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $16 | −$1 | -4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 06 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $2 | −$1 | -44% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 28 | $9 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Julius Randle Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 17 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 16 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 29 | $2 | $0 | +3% |