Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:53:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61f9…8055
weather · 1220 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$33 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1033 / 154
Open positions33
Markets (closed)1187 / 1220
History coverage113d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day14.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 33 History 1187 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$4
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? No 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13? No 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? No 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13? No 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 9? No 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? No 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 9? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on June 3? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 9? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 67% −$8
crypto 33% −$23
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $1 22m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 22m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 593 -0.7% -10.2% 97% 1% -10.2%
≤30d 863 -2.4% -11.7% 95% 2% -12.1%
≤90d 1185 -1.3% -10.7% 87% 12% -11.9%
all 1187 -1.3% -10.7% 87% 12% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 12% -11.9%
10% -19.2% 7% -20.3%
15% -27.0% 3% -28.0%
20% -34.2% 2% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.77 · official $38.77 (match) · 2580 history records