Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:34:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

61
0x61fe…6403
crypto · 428 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,684 -46%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,684 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$2,684
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses192 / 487
Open positions0
Markets (closed)679 / 428
History coverage14d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day239.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 679 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,001
7 days−$2,644
14 days−$2,684
30 days−$2,684
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$15 +3168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$7 +1267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$368
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-33.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 461 -36.2% -42.3% 20% 20% -46.6%
≤30d 679 -26.1% -33.2% 28% 28% -37.5%
≤90d 679 -26.1% -33.2% 28% 28% -37.5%
all 679 -26.1% -33.2% 28% 28% -37.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover239.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.2% 28% -37.5%
10% ← realistic here -39.5% 27% -43.5%
15% -45.4% 26% -48.9%
20% -50.7% 22% -53.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.98 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records