Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:56:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x620c…4bae
crypto · 8 markets active 7h ago
8.5score
+$22,148 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$22,148 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$22,148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses8 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage230d
Avg bet$8,530
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22,028
7 days+$22,028
14 days+$22,028
30 days+$22,028
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $47,480 +$22,027 +46%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? Jun 13 $21 +$1 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November? Dec 16 $1,179 +$15 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? Dec 16 $8,852 +$36 +0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Nov 08 $500 +$31 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 27-November 2? Nov 04 $647 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? Nov 01 $9,481 +$19 +0%
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25? Oct 27 $81 +$19 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% +$22,046
crypto 30% +$71
politics 1% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 70¢ $69,507 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $16,762 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $9 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $9 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $30,688 6h
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November? BUY No 99¢ $532 217d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November? BUY No 98¢ $647 221d
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? BUY No 100¢ $8,852 223d
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 27-November 2? BUY No 100¢ $647 223d
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? BUY No 97¢ $21 228d
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? BUY No 100¢ $9,481 228d
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25? BUY Yes 81¢ $81 230d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? BUY Yes 94¢ $500 230d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +24.6% +12.8% 100% 50% +32.4%
≤30d 2 +24.6% +12.8% 100% 50% +32.4%
≤90d 2 +24.6% +12.8% 100% 50% +32.4%
all 8 +10.1% -0.4% 100% 25% +19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.4% 25% +19.8%
10% ← realistic here -9.9% 25% +8.4%
15% -18.6% 12% -2.1%
20% -26.6% 0% -11.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 24 history records