trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -23.8% | -31.0% | 43% | 29% | +3.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -23.8% | -31.0% | 43% | 29% | +3.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -14.9% | -23.0% | 45% | 36% | +7.5% |
| all | 16 | -8.1% | -16.8% | 56% | 38% | +4.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.8% | 38% | +4.7% |
| 10% | -24.8% | 25% | -5.3% |
| 15% | -32.1% | 19% | -14.5% |
| 20% | -38.7% | 6% | -22.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 82¢ | 80¢ | $300 | $295 | −$5 (-2%) |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | No | 75¢ | 89¢ | $200 | $238 | +$38 (+19%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 70¢ | $200 | $212 | +$12 (+6%) |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 95¢ | $100 | $105 | +$5 (+5%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 44¢ | 64¢ | $50 | $72 | +$22 (+45%) |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | No | 68¢ | 71¢ | $50 | $52 | +$2 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $102 | −$73 | -72% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $60 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June? | Jun 19 | $101 | −$35 | -35% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 19 | $30 | −$6 | -19% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $950 | +$407 | +43% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | May 11 | $288 | +$133 | +46% |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | May 11 | $300 | +$229 | +76% |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6? | Mar 23 | $94 | −$94 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Mar 23 | $198 | −$40 | -20% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | Feb 03 | $91 | +$3 | +4% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 02 | $72 | +$19 | +26% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | Jan 27 | $65 | +$6 | +10% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Jan 24 | $159 | −$43 | -27% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | Jan 19 | $50 | +$11 | +21% |