Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T17:43:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
62 0x6239…3455 crypto 414 markets active 0h ago coverage 16d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$22 (+0%) realized +$22 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate87%360W / 54L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day31.6pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$123
7 days+$77
14 days−$23
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% +$113
sports 6% −$75
politics 3% +$2
other 1% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 352 -0.5% -10.0% 89% 29% -7.6%
≤30d 414 +0.2% -9.4% 87% 34% -9.5%
≤90d 414 +0.2% -9.4% 87% 34% -9.5%
all 414 +0.2% -9.4% 87% 34% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover31.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 34% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 19% -18.1%
15% -25.9% 8% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 4% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$9 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses360 / 54
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)414 / 414
History coverage16d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day31.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 414 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 24 $48 +$14 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 24 $51 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 24 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 24 $51 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 24 $51 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 24 $31 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 24 $30 −$23 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $17 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $19 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $19 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 24 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 24 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 23 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 23 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 23 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 23 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$3 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $48 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $51 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $24 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $27 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $29 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 916 history records