Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6244…1ada
crypto · 408 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$2,482 -42%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,482 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$2,482
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses187 / 513
Open positions0
Markets (closed)700 / 408
History coverage13d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day264.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 700 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,318
7 days−$2,663
14 days−$2,482
30 days−$2,482
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 25¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+300%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+136%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+114%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+139%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 23¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+342%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+176%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+166%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$33 +13033%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$24 +5787%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$9 +1542%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +782%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$15 +3198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$8 +1193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$38 +9149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$28 +15516%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +618%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$11 +7118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1665%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$41 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,131
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 571 -16.2% -24.2% 22% 22% -42.4%
≤30d 700 -10.4% -18.9% 27% 26% -36.3%
≤90d 700 -10.4% -18.9% 27% 26% -36.3%
all 700 -10.4% -18.9% 27% 26% -36.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover264.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 26% -36.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 26% -42.4%
15% -33.7% 25% -47.9%
20% -40.2% 21% -53.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.34 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records