Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T11:45:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
62 0x624b…d25e crypto 702 markets active 1h ago coverage 76d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$76 (-0%) realized −$76 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%699W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$142per market
Trades / day10.8pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$6
30 days−$255
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$108
other 3% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 343 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 702 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.6%
all 702 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.3%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$166 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

76d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses699 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)702 / 702
History coverage76d
Avg bet$142
Trades / day10.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 702 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6AM ET Jun 28 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6AM ET Jun 28 $234 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5AM ET Jun 28 $147 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 5AM ET Jun 28 $115 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 4AM ET Jun 28 $95 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 3AM ET Jun 28 $32 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 2AM ET Jun 28 $115 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 1AM ET Jun 28 $150 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 1AM ET Jun 28 $112 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 12AM ET Jun 28 $82 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11PM ET Jun 28 $262 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 10PM ET Jun 28 $42 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9PM ET Jun 28 $113 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9PM ET Jun 28 $149 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8PM ET Jun 28 $95 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 7PM ET Jun 28 $115 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET Jun 27 $119 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET Jun 27 $59 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3AM ET Jun 27 $35 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2AM ET Jun 27 $155 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3AM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12AM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11PM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10PM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9PM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 7PM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6PM ET Jun 19 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4PM ET Jun 19 $9 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3PM ET Jun 19 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2PM ET Jun 19 $9 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1PM ET Jun 19 $9 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12PM ET Jun 19 $9 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11PM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 9PM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $30 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $117 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $117 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $77 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $115 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 4AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $95 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 3AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $32 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 2AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $115 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 1AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $150 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 1AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $112 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 12AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $82 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $262 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 10PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $42 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $149 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $113 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $95 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 7PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $115 11h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $59 25h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $119 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $35 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $155 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $9 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $9 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1523 history records