Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:25:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x625b…4d25
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$2 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 24¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+44%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +39%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +111%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -59%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 $0 -42%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 71% +$2
sports 29% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 35m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $4 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 71¢ $3 2h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 94¢ $3 3h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 56¢ $2 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $4 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 24h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 18¢ $0 25h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 30h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $1 30h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 50% +0.1%
≤30d 6 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 50% +0.1%
≤90d 6 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 50% +0.1%
all 6 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 50% +0.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.3% 50% +0.1%
10% -16.2% 50% -9.5%
15% -24.3% 50% -18.2%
20% -31.7% 33% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.88 · official $2.88 (match) · 12 history records