trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 15? | Jun 10 | $459 | +$108 | +23% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 07 | $176 | +$69 | +39% |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 07 | $155 | +$13 | +8% |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 07 | $44 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 07 | $76 | +$242 | +320% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 07 | $195 | +$5 | +3% |
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P | Jun 07 | $3 | +$4 | +113% |
| Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pr | Jun 07 | $4 | +$2 | +47% |
| Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 13? | Jun 07 | $12 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix | Jun 07 | $80 | −$62 | -78% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix | Jun 07 | $69 | −$25 | -36% |
| Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 07 | $70 | +$5 | +8% |
| Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5? | Jun 07 | $276 | +$50 | +18% |
| Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri | Jun 06 | $31 | −$31 | -98% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 06 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix | Jun 06 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 05 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 61% | 33% | +9.6% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 61% | 33% | +9.6% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 61% | 33% | +9.6% |
| all | 18 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 61% | 33% | +9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -10.6% | 33% | +9.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -19.2% | 28% | -0.9% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 22% | -10.4% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 11% | -19.2% |