Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:26:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6271…99b5
crypto · 523 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$213 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$215 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$215
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses237 / 348
Open positions1
Markets (closed)585 / 523
History coverage6d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day510.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 585 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$239
7 days−$215
14 days−$215
30 days−$215
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 49¢ 66¢ $11 $15 +$4 (+36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 24¢ 34¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$9 -254%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -136%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 585 -17.8% -25.6% 41% 33% -11.9%
≤30d 585 -17.8% -25.6% 41% 33% -11.9%
≤90d 585 -17.8% -25.6% 41% 33% -11.9%
all 585 -17.8% -25.6% 41% 33% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover510.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.6% 33% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -32.8% 23% -20.4%
15% -39.3% 17% -28.0%
20% -45.2% 10% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.46 · official $22.97 (match) · 3500 history records