Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:23:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
62 0x6273…0c78 crypto 1387 markets active 5d ago coverage 27d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 26d only
✗ bot/MM pace (81 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$169 (-4%) realized −$169 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate72%998W / 389L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day80.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$187
14 days−$207
30 days−$249
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$220
sports 0% −$10
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (81 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 403 -14.8% -22.9% 71% 7% -18.1%
≤30d 1047 -9.3% -18.0% 69% 32% -14.7%
≤90d 1387 -5.3% -14.3% 72% 39% -13.9%
all 1387 -5.3% -14.3% 72% 39% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 39% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 27% -22.1%
15% -30.0% 19% -29.7%
20% -36.8% 12% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
44% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -11% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$169
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses998 / 389
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1387 / 1387
History coverage27d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day80.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1387 Trades
no open positions (60 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records