Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6277…5a3f
sports · 893 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$63,053 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$62,233 · open −$820
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14,711
Realized−$62,233
Unrealized−$820
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses375 / 646
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$8,241
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1021 / 893
History coverage34d
Avg bet$585
Trades / day87.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 1021 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$104,548
7 days−$85,122
14 days−$64,576
30 days−$55,351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 48¢ 100¢ $1,542 $3,244 +$1,702 (+110%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner G2 Ares 31¢ 100¢ $955 $3,103 +$2,149 (+225%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage Leo Team 54¢ 100¢ $1,251 $2,310 +$1,059 (+85%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage FUT Esports 40¢ 100¢ $598 $1,489 +$891 (+149%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage XLG Gaming 30¢ 100¢ $379 $1,265 +$886 (+233%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage G2 Ares 45¢ 100¢ $503 $1,106 +$603 (+120%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 45¢ 100¢ $380 $844 +$464 (+122%)
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Dallas Wings 46¢ 42¢ $400 $370 −$30 (-8%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 70¢ 100¢ $257 $366 +$110 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 47¢ 100¢ $140 $295 +$155 (+111%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) Bilibili Gaming 49¢ 48¢ $144 $143 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner LOUD 92¢ 100¢ $76 $83 +$7 (+9%)
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Leo Team 71¢ 100¢ $35 $49 +$14 (+41%)
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) PortlandFire 59¢ 57¢ $22 $21 −$1 (-3%)
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage FN Esports 44¢ 50¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 77¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+29%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 18¢ 0¢ $813 $2 −$811 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 98¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 Winner GMBLERS ESPORTS 56¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season ZeroZone Gaming 23¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Winthrop University 45¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs Yellow Submarine 52¢ 0¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Team Nemesis 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season Jun 13 $142 −$142 -100%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Play Jun 13 $172 −$172 -100%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Map Handicap: ALGO (-1.5) vs KUUSAMO.gg (+1.5) Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $459 −$459 -100%
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Jun 13 $496 −$496 -100%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Gro Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Jun 13 $154 −$154 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Cl Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Z7 Esports (BO1) - Parken Challenger Jun 13 $266 −$266 -100%
Spread: Clippers (-8.5) Jun 13 $305 −$305 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stag Jun 13 $474 −$474 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks (BO3) - LJL Regular Season Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $296 −$296 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3,050 −$3,050 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B Jun 13 $114 −$114 -100%
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $186 −$186 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $916 −$916 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $509 −$509 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $328 −$328 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 13 $142 −$142 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $2,313 −$2,313 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,644 −$1,644 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $343 −$343 -100%
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $295 −$295 -100%
Map Handicap: Gen.G (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5) Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $438 −$438 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $167 −$167 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? Jun 13 $240 −$240 -100%
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $568 −$568 -100%
Lakers vs. Rockets Jun 13 $942 −$942 -100%
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu Jun 13 $448 −$448 -100%
LoL: Citadel Gaming vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $450 −$450 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,968 −$1,968 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - DreamLeague China Clos Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 13 $781 −$781 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Gr Jun 13 $339 −$339 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Pla Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 13 $521 −$521 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $84 −$84 -100%
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regu Jun 13 $203 −$203 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$47,255
other 1% +$2,898
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) BUY PortlandFire 59¢ $22 1h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) BUY Dallas Wings 46¢ $406 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 24¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $184 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $184 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 17¢ $33 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 17¢ $143 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 17¢ $143 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 17¢ $143 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 21¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 22¢ $256 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 56¢ $49 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 56¢ $912 4h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5) BUY G2 Esports 44¢ $203 6h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY XLG Gaming 44¢ $120 6h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 49¢ $4 6h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 49¢ $142 6h
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) BUY KOLESIE 34¢ $39 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 77¢ $1,953 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 77¢ $37 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 77¢ $45 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $614 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 21¢ $102 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $512 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $1,062 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $1 14h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $3 14h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $102 14h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 77¢ $93 14h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 22¢ $665 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-25.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 355 -52.5% -57.1% 21% 20% -48.6%
≤30d 888 -19.3% -27.0% 36% 35% -19.0%
≤90d 1021 -17.1% -25.0% 37% 36% -19.0%
all 1021 -17.1% -25.0% 37% 36% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover87.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.0% 36% -19.0%
10% -32.1% 34% -26.7%
15% ← realistic here -38.7% 32% -33.8%
20% -44.7% 28% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14,710.82 · official $14,710.82 (match) · 3500 history records