Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:14:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6289…6e75
crypto · 82 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$60 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$71 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses69 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)82 / 82
History coverage2d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day70.2
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$93
7 days+$71
14 days+$71
30 days+$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$16 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$14 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$71
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $50 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $50 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $52 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $65 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $51 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $21 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 +7.8% -2.5% 84% 39% -5.6%
≤30d 82 +7.8% -2.5% 84% 39% -5.6%
≤90d 82 +7.8% -2.5% 84% 39% -5.6%
all 82 +7.8% -2.5% 84% 39% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.5% 39% -5.6%
10% ← realistic here -11.8% 26% -14.7%
15% -20.3% 18% -22.9%
20% -28.1% 7% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 180 history records