Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:24:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6296…b14d
crypto · 796 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$543 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$543 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$180
Realized−$543
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses325 / 662
Open positions0
Markets (closed)987 / 796
History coverage6d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day447.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 987 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$431
7 days−$543
14 days−$543
30 days−$543
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $27 $30 +$3 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 6¢ 100¢ $2 $30 +$28 (+1567%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$173
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $29 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-30.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 987 -23.5% -30.8% 33% 0% -11.7%
≤30d 987 -23.5% -30.8% 33% 0% -11.7%
≤90d 987 -23.5% -30.8% 33% 0% -11.7%
all 987 -23.5% -30.8% 33% 0% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover447.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.8% 0% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -37.4% 0% -20.1%
15% -43.4% 0% -27.8%
20% -49.0% 0% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $179.98 · official $179.98 (match) · 3500 history records