Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:43:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x6297…9eab
crypto · 2293 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$950 -35%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$118 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$118
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses1094 / 994
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2088 / 2293
History coverage29d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day82.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2088 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$725
7 days−$417
14 days−$207
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$675
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 732 -30.5% -37.1% 36% 36% -40.1%
≤30d 2088 +3.4% -6.5% 52% 52% -13.5%
≤90d 2088 +3.4% -6.5% 52% 52% -13.5%
all 2088 +3.4% -6.5% 52% 52% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 52% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.4% 52% -21.8%
15% -23.6% 52% -29.3%
20% -31.1% 50% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records