trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +19.3% | +7.9% | 21% | 21% | +14.2% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +19.3% | +7.9% | 21% | 21% | +14.2% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 17% | 17% | -13.1% |
| all | 26 | +2.2% | -7.6% | 23% | 23% | -6.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.6% | 23% | -6.5% |
| 10% | -16.4% | 19% | -15.4% |
| 15% | -24.5% | 19% | -23.6% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 19% | -31.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Team to Take First Corner | Jun 17 | $2 | +$3 | +206% |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Egypt leading at halftime? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$5 | +510% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$4 | +365% |
| Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Second half draw? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Frenkie de Jong: 1+ assists | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Team to Take First Corner | Jun 14 | $0 | $0 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Qatar to win the second half? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$8 | +786% |
| Silvan Widmer: 1+ assists | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw? | Apr 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26? | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? | Feb 03 | $2 | −$1 | -30% |
| Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14? | Dec 29 | $2 | $0 | +22% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | Oct 26 | $2 | +$2 | +98% |