Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:20:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x629d…756c
sports · 158 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$57,473 -67%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55,688 · open −$2,541
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,642
Realized−$55,688
Unrealized−$2,541
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses96 / 492
Whale WR (big bets)15%
Est. fees paid−$1,055
Open positions19
Markets (closed)588 / 158
History coverage2d
Avg bet$543
Trades / day2113.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 19 History 588 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55,688
7 days−$55,688
14 days−$55,688
30 days−$55,688
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 64¢ 90¢ $646 $914 +$268 (+42%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 72¢ 100¢ $402 $558 +$156 (+39%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Leviatán Esports 18¢ 14¢ $435 $340 −$95 (-22%)
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5) Bublik 41¢ 100¢ $92 $223 +$131 (+142%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 40¢ 24¢ $310 $186 −$124 (-40%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 58¢ 100¢ $69 $119 +$50 (+71%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 47¢ 35¢ $69 $52 −$17 (-25%)
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 93¢ 92¢ $46 $46 −$0 (-1%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Paper Rex 73¢ 76¢ $36 $38 +$2 (+4%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 69¢ 69¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-0%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 50¢ 60¢ $25 $30 +$5 (+21%)
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Saab 14¢ 12¢ $34 $29 −$5 (-14%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 48¢ 57¢ $24 $29 +$5 (+20%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner WLGaming Esports 16¢ 14¢ $16 $14 −$2 (-16%)
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia 8¢ 50¢ $2 $10 +$8 (+518%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants Hanwha Eagles 65¢ 53¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-19%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 28¢ 30¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 41¢ 0¢ $2,798 $3 −$2,794 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 36¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Leviatán Esports 34¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 59¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs Turma do Pagode 16¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs Alzon 6¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage RUSTEC 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia Jun 12 $2 +$8 +518%
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - CCT South America Se Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 12 $4 −$24 -608%
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $54 −$34 -64%
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Lahore Qalandars Jun 12 $696 −$687 -99%
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Jun 12 $923 −$921 -100%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Jun 12 $117 −$7 -6%
Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs Mert Alkaya Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champions Jun 12 $25 +$15 +60%
Will Club Aurora win on 2026-05-15? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Four Angry Men (BO1) - BLAST R Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Huzhou: Rada Zolotareva vs Despina Papamichail Jun 12 $296 −$276 -93%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-22? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Galorys (BO3) - CCT South America Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $114 −$114 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan Lugo Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
ITF Casablanca: Lina Bezza vs Nina Vargova Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Overwatch: Lazuli vs ENTER FORCE.36 (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 1 Regular Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Thunderp Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $169 −$169 -100%
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks Jun 12 $47 +$32 +67%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Oman vs Saudi Arabia Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw? Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage Jun 12 $400 −$410 -102%
LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Chloe Noel Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$2,430
other 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 15¢ $4 0m
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A BUY Saab 14¢ $6 1m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 15¢ $29 1m
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A BUY Saab 14¢ $29 2m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 90¢ $15 3m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 16¢ $8 6m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 16¢ $8 6m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 13¢ $16 7m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 45¢ $23 7m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 35¢ $18 7m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 73¢ $37 7m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 82¢ $126 9m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 90¢ $3 9m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 89¢ $22 9m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 86¢ $43 9m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 39¢ $10 9m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 19¢ $5 9m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 39¢ $10 9m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 40¢ $20 10m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 40¢ $20 10m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 41¢ $2 10m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 41¢ $4 10m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 41¢ $4 10m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 21¢ $53 11m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 21¢ $11 11m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 48¢ $24 11m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 52¢ $26 12m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 88¢ $38 12m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 52¢ $26 12m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 55¢ $28 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-53.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 588 -48.9% -53.7% 16% 13% -47.6%
≤30d 588 -48.9% -53.7% 16% 13% -47.6%
≤90d 588 -48.9% -53.7% 16% 13% -47.6%
all 588 -48.9% -53.7% 16% 13% -47.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2113.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.7% 13% -47.6%
10% ← realistic here -58.2% 11% -52.6%
15% -62.2% 8% -57.2%
20% -65.9% 7% -61.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,642.47 · official $2,537.47 · 3500 history records