Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:43:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62a0…f94b
sports · 196 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$163 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$165
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses78 / 114
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions4
Markets (closed)192 / 196
History coverage85d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 4 History 192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$187
30 days−$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 31¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+222%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+203%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Tunisia? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Over 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Croatia 85¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Austria (-1.5) Austria 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
OC Safi vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 3.5 Over 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 Over 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: COD Meknès (-1.5) COD Meknès 83¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira end in a draw? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 0 North Macedonia? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Over 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Tunisia? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 +$3 +21%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $10 +$3 +26%
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Jun 04 $30 $0 +1%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Jun 02 $100 −$100 -100%
COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $63 +$11 +17%
Spread: COD Meknès (-1.5) Jun 01 $101 −$100 -100%
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $41 +$14 +34%
Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 0.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: CD Castellón 3 - 1 SD Eibar? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Poland 1 - 2 Ukraine? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will United States vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 4.5 Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5) Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Limache win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Real Racing Club 3 - 2 Cádiz CF? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Fukushima United FC (-1.5) Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Poland 0 - 3 Ukraine? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Real Racing Club 3 - 1 Cádiz CF? Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: CD Castellón 2 - 2 SD Eibar? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Ukraine (-2.5) Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 3 - 1 Serbia? Jun 01 $0 $0 -100%
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Limache vs. CD Coquimbo Unido end in a draw? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 01 $20 −$20 -100%
CD Los Chankas vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $30 −$30 -100%
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 0 Tunisia? Jun 01 $1 +$1 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$150
other 2% −$11
politics 1% $0
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 82¢ $15 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 12¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 80¢ $3 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 71¢ $2 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 1h
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 8¢ $1 5d
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 39¢ $5 5d
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $10 5d
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? SELL No 81¢ $31 8d
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) BUY Croatia 85¢ $100 10d
Spread: COD Meknès (-1.5) BUY COD Meknès 83¢ $101 11d
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 0 Tunisia? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 11d
OC Safi vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $3 11d
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $88 11d
COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 57¢ $2 11d
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 0 Tunisia? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 11d
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Tunisia? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 11d
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Tunisia? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 11d
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Austria 16¢ $1 11d
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 5¢ $1 11d
Will COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira end in a draw? BUY Yes 49¢ $2 11d
COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 87¢ $26 11d
COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 87¢ $14 11d
COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 87¢ $21 11d
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) SELL Türkiye 100¢ $114 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -43.2% -48.6% 44% 44% -15.5%
≤30d 189 -13.5% -21.7% 41% 38% -15.6%
≤90d 192 -13.9% -22.1% 41% 38% -15.7%
all 192 -13.9% -22.1% 41% 38% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.1% 38% -15.7%
10% -29.5% 25% -23.7%
15% -36.4% 19% -31.1%
20% -42.6% 16% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.26 · official $6.26 (match) · 409 history records