Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62ac…b8cb
crypto · 1477 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,152 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,169 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized+$1,169
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1076 / 485
Open positions13
Markets (closed)1561 / 1477
History coverage14d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day167.2
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 13 History 1561 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,075
7 days−$1,418
14 days+$925
30 days+$1,169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes 2¢ 5¢ $3 $5 +$3 (+102%)
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 13, 7PM ET? No 77¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+30%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? Yes 1¢ 4¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+182%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14? No 4¢ 3¢ $3 $3 −$1 (-16%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14? No 8¢ 1¢ $12 $2 −$10 (-86%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? No 1¢ 1¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-53%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 3¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-66%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? No 2¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-63%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 14? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-81%)
Ethereum above 1,560 on June 6, 7AM ET? No 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin above 59,600 on June 5, 3PM ET? No 57¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+75%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 14? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-58%)
Ethereum above 2,130 on May 19, 8AM ET? No 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 14? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-78%)
Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 19, 8AM ET? No 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 5, 12AM ET? No 15¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+567%)
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Ethereum above 2,030 on May 30, 3PM ET? No 84¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 4, 10AM ET? Yes 17¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+488%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum above 2,130 on May 19, 8AM ET? Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 19, 8AM ET? Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19? Jun 13 $0 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -99%
XRP Up or Down on May 25? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 22? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 22? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 6PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 22? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 20? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$5,358
other 6% +$331
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $96 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 13, 7PM ET? BUY No 77¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $22 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $86 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $90 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $36 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $84 1h
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 13, 6PM ET? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 13, 6PM ET? BUY Yes 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 13, 6PM ET? BUY Yes 93¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 13, 6PM ET? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 13, 6PM ET? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 13, 6PM ET? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $75 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $48 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $39 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 13, 6PM ET? BUY No 90¢ $68 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $14 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $84 1h
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 13, 6PM ET? BUY No 88¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $39 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 908 -20.2% -27.8% 60% 16% -12.4%
≤30d 1561 +2.8% -7.0% 69% 19% -8.6%
≤90d 1561 +2.8% -7.0% 69% 19% -8.6%
all 1561 +2.8% -7.0% 69% 19% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover167.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 19% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 11% -17.4%
15% -24.0% 7% -25.4%
20% -31.5% 6% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.91 · official $27.00 · 3500 history records