Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:30:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62be…444c
sports · 188 markets active 1h ago
7.5score
+$5,870 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,576 · open +$280
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,210
Realized+$5,576
Unrealized+$280
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses104 / 82
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$779
Open positions2
Markets (closed)186 / 188
History coverage123d
Avg bet$702
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 2 History 186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$755
7 days+$5,240
14 days+$5,603
30 days+$3,521
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 81¢ 90¢ $5,558 $6,210 +$652 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 58¢ 0¢ $372 $0 −$372 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? No 49¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 36¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Movistar KOI 39¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-16? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Juan Manuel Cerundolo 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Burgos vs. Unicaja Unicaja 46¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 62¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 94¢ 0¢ $6,724 $0 −$6,724 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 24¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1,768 $0 −$1,768 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 49¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) KT Rolster 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 51¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner 3DMAX 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Casper Ruud 46¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Spurs 51¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $202 +$115 +57%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $117 +$150 +128%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $101 +$82 +81%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $102 +$109 +107%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $102 +$173 +170%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $152 −$150 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $153 −$150 -98%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $127 +$128 +101%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $506 +$370 +73%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4,749 +$412 +9%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $254 −$250 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $305 −$300 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $4,796 +$511 +11%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $250 −$245 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $759 +$489 +64%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $913 +$784 +86%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,014 +$836 +82%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,009 −$925 -92%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $173 −$108 -63%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $173 +$54 +31%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3,481 +$639 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $203 +$261 +128%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,016 +$1,091 +107%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,218 −$1,087 -34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,003 +$216 +7%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $132 −$130 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,894 +$241 +8%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $497 +$394 +79%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 10 $60 −$59 -98%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 10 $102 +$123 +121%
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $1,606 +$929 +58%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $112 −$110 -99%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $69 +$53 +76%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $319 +$348 +109%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,206 +$114 +10%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,103 +$103 +9%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $899 +$203 +23%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 08 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $56 −$55 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $51 +$50 +99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $102 +$268 +262%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $97 +$141 +145%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $78 −$77 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $748 +$30 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $71 +$71 +99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $102 +$154 +152%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$6,069
other 5% −$212
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 81¢ $5,590 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $317 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 57¢ $219 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 59¢ $304 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 63¢ $202 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 58¢ $304 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 100¢ $267 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 43¢ $117 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $183 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $101 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $211 7h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $102 7h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $275 8h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $102 8h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $152 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 40¢ $153 17h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $255 19h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 49¢ $127 20h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $876 20h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 57¢ $506 22h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $5,161 22h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 92¢ $4,749 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 40¢ $254 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 44¢ $305 27h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 100¢ $5,308 31h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 90¢ $4,796 43h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $102 45h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 32¢ $102 46h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 37¢ $250 47h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $1,248 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +12.2% +1.5% 62% 51% +3.4%
≤30d 125 +8.1% -2.2% 59% 50% -6.8%
≤90d 176 +7.4% -2.8% 56% 49% -5.4%
all 186 +7.3% -2.9% 56% 49% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.9% 49% -5.5%
10% -12.2% 44% -14.5%
15% -20.7% 41% -22.8%
20% -28.5% 39% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,210.30 · official $6,141.69 · 319 history records