trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 33% | 33% | -32.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 33% | 33% | -32.3% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 33% | 33% | -32.3% |
| all | 72 | -16.8% | -24.7% | 29% | 28% | -32.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.7% | 28% | -32.3% |
| 10% | -31.9% | 28% | -38.8% |
| 15% | -38.5% | 26% | -44.7% |
| 20% | -44.6% | 25% | -50.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $4 | −$4 | -86% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$4 | +220% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +51% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Jun 13 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Feb 08 | $2 | +$3 | +136% |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legis | Feb 08 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Feb 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Feb 02 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01? | Feb 02 | $2 | +$7 | +354% |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Jan 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Jan 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | Jan 18 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5 | Jan 18 | $5 | +$6 | +112% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Jan 17 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Jan 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 17 | $2 | +$7 | +375% |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Jan 13 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 11 | $2 | +$7 | +365% |
| Magic vs. Wizards | Jan 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Ravens vs. Steelers | Jan 05 | $3 | +$9 | +332% |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03? | Jan 05 | $3 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01? | Jan 05 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Browns | Jan 01 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Dolphins | Jan 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Bills | Jan 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Jan 01 | $5 | +$2 | +33% |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Jan 01 | $4 | −$2 | -62% |
| Suns vs. Pelicans | Dec 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Broncos (-13.5) | Dec 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hawks | Dec 28 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Commanders | Dec 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5 | Dec 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Dec 27 | $2 | +$1 | +72% |
| Lions vs. Vikings | Dec 26 | $2 | +$6 | +316% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Dec 25 | $2 | +$6 | +300% |
| California vs. Hawaii | Dec 25 | $2 | +$2 | +87% |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Dec 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Jaguars vs. Broncos | Dec 24 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Dec 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| 49ers vs. Colts | Dec 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 51.5 | Dec 22 | $2 | +$2 | +85% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Dec 19 | $4 | +$4 | +103% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 51.5 | Dec 19 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in | Dec 19 | $2 | −$1 | -75% |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31? | Dec 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Army vs. Navy: O/U 39.5 | Dec 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |