Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:28:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62d3…be6a
sports · 22 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$9 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses13 / 9
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 22
History coverage2d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day27.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 45¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 71¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 65¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 38¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 30¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 34¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 32¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$5 +19%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$9 +88%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$13 +123%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$10 -50%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$7 +71%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$19 +185%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$24 +120%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $20 +$6 +29%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $15 −$1 -9%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $47 +$12 +25%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $46 −$10 -22%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$11 +52%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13 −$3 -26%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$4 +78%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 +$2 +42%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $29 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 83¢ $24 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 92¢ $19 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 48¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 36¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $23 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 44¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 65¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 44¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 99¢ $14 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 61¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 61¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $14 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 70¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 70¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 30¢ $20 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $17 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 34¢ $20 7h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner SELL Young Ninjas 99¢ $29 7h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner SELL ex-RUBY 99¢ $33 7h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner BUY ex-RUBY 30¢ $10 7h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner BUY Young Ninjas 34¢ $10 7h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Ares 60¢ $12 8h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Ares 50¢ $10 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 77¢ $20 21h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 62¢ $14 21h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 67¢ $15 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 59¢ $13 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $10 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +8.2% -2.1% 59% 59% -7.1%
≤30d 22 +8.2% -2.1% 59% 59% -7.1%
≤90d 22 +8.2% -2.1% 59% 59% -7.1%
all 22 +8.2% -2.1% 59% 59% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.1% 59% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -11.5% 55% -16.0%
15% -20.0% 45% -24.1%
20% -27.9% 32% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 56 history records