trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 36% | 29% | -4.0% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 36% | 29% | -4.0% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 36% | 29% | -4.0% |
| all | 14 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 36% | 29% | -4.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -28.9% | 29% | -4.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -35.7% | 29% | -13.2% |
| 15% | -41.9% | 29% | -21.6% |
| 20% | -47.6% | 14% | -29.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $25 | −$24 | -96% |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $66 | −$64 | -96% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | Jun 17 | $38 | −$13 | -34% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $99 | +$38 | +38% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $65 | +$53 | +83% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $95 | +$42 | +44% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $8 | +$29 | +365% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | Jun 17 | $37 | −$37 | -99% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16? | Jun 16 | $4 | −$4 | -96% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Jun 16 | $25 | $0 | +2% |