Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62f2…ab1c
other · 111 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$99 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$100 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$100
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses9 / 102
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)111 / 111
History coverage125d
Avg bet$244
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Raptors vs. Timberwolves Raptors 36¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Bucks Cavaliers 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Nets vs. Pistons Pistons 89¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Jazz vs. Wizards Wizards 61¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Thunder Warriors 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
76ers vs. Hawks 76ers 30¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Kings vs. Rockets Kings 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Kings Pacers 42¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 14 $33 $0 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $23 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $22 $0 -0%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $23 $0 -0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? May 30 $185 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? May 28 $184 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 25 $214 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 25 $175 $0 -0%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 23 $161 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 22 $392 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $503 −$1 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 19 $198 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 17 $193 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $414 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 14 $187 $0 -0%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 10 $152 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 19 $208 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $559 −$1 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? Apr 18 $221 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 18 $203 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $167 $0 -0%
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 17 $161 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $883 −$1 -0%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 17 $207 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 16 $164 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $157 $0 -0%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 16 $162 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 15 $153 $0 -0%
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $634 −$1 -0%
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 15 $171 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $821 −$1 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 14 $376 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 13 $193 $0 -0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 13 $154 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 13 $384 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $537 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? Apr 12 $209 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $206 $0 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 10 $212 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 10 $213 $0 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 08 $332 $0 -0%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 08 $211 $0 -0%
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 08 $206 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 08 $159 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 07 $177 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 07 $576 −$1 -0%
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 07 $208 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 06 $212 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 06 $171 $0 -0%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 05 $360 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$15
politics 26% −$8
sports 11% −$75
crypto 4% −$1
tech 3% −$1
economics 2% −$1
world 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $33 1h
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $33 9d
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $23 9d
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $23 10d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $22 13d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $22 13d
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $23 13d
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $23 14d
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $185 14d
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $185 17d
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $184 17d
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $184 19d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $214 19d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $214 19d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $175 20d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $175 21d
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $161 21d
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $161 21d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $168 22d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $168 22d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $224 24d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $224 25d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $198 25d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $198 26d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $193 27d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $193 28d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $218 28d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $218 29d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $187 31d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $187 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 14 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 83 -0.1% -9.6% 2% 0% -9.6%
all 111 -4.5% -13.6% 8% 4% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.6% 4% -9.9%
10% -21.9% 3% -18.5%
15% -29.4% 3% -26.4%
20% -36.3% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 366 history records