Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T06:40:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
63 0x6304…c7e5 crypto 178 markets active 2h ago coverage 60d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 60d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$54,711 (+6%) realized +$54,711 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate52%92W / 86L
Whale WR89%big bets
Drawdown6%max
Avg bet$5,343per market
Trades / day53.4pace
Fees−$10,142est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,709
7 days+$13,141
14 days+$13,141
30 days+$13,141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 95% +$17,118
other 5% +$12,595
crypto 0% −$70
world 0% −$83
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +75.9% +59.1% 70% 48% +15.2%
≤30d 23 +75.9% +59.1% 70% 48% +15.2%
≤90d 178 +4.3% -5.6% 52% 34% -6.7%
all 178 +4.3% -5.6% 52% 34% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.6% 34% -6.7%
10% -14.6% 29% -15.6%
15% ← realistic here -22.9% 27% -23.8%
20% -30.4% 25% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 29% · top 2 52% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 89% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +48% → late -39% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
18.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$349 vs −$29 · ×11.86 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×12.69 per $1 lost it wins $12.69
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$54,711
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses92 / 86
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Est. fees paid−$10,142
Open positions0
Markets (closed)178 / 178
History coverage60d ⚠
Avg bet$5,343
Trades / day53.4
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 178 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $7,441 +$293 +4%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $2,846 +$271 +10%
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 23 $1,018 −$59 -6%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $5,883 +$1,939 +33%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $802 +$55 +7%
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 23 $1,712 +$256 +15%
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $152 +$23 +15%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $288 +$12 +4%
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 22 $89 +$10 +12%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $312 +$174 +56%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $74 −$73 -98%
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 21 $435 +$493 +113%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $86 −$83 -96%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $2,076 −$1,600 -77%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $296 +$1 +0%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $50 +$13 +26%
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? Jun 18 $70 −$69 -99%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $1,931 +$1,054 +55%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $2,644 +$383 +14%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $16,127 +$9,323 +58%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $5,111 +$741 +14%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 6¢ $21 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 93¢ $641 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 7¢ $2 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 7¢ $20 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 93¢ $419 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 91¢ $456 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 11¢ $3 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 89¢ $442 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 89¢ $4 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 11¢ $18 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 11¢ $39 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 12¢ $62 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 12¢ $3 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 21¢ $7 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 78¢ $11 1h
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY No 87¢ $437 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 84¢ $11 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 17¢ $42 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 83¢ $226 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 82¢ $418 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 22¢ $113 1h
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY No 90¢ $7 1h
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 10¢ $9 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 85¢ $197 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 27¢ $39 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 23¢ $49 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 20¢ $108 1h
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY No 92¢ $16 1h
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY No 92¢ $105 1h
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $30 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records